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Puce Isabelle Chort (Paris Dauphine)

mardi 09 mai 2017

Managing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration: Evidence from Mexico [PDF]

Abstract: This paper uses state-level migration flow data between Mexico and the U.S. from 1999 to 2011 to investigate the migration response to  climate shocks and the mitigating impact of an agricultural cash-transfer program (PROCAMPO) and a disaster fund (Fonden). Our results suggest that droughts increase undocumented migration.  Fonden amounts are found to mitigate the effect of climate shocks by lowering the undocumented migration response to precipitation anomalies. Similarly an increase in the share of PROCAMPO funds to the ejido sector decreases undocumented migration after a shock. By contrast, we find no robust evidence of a mitigating impact on documented migration. 

 Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/isabellechort